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Аналитический центр занимается анализом и прогнозированием макроэкономических показателей экономики и ключевых отраслей Казахстана.

Macroeconomic report 1Q2023

Due to good stance in the non-commodity sector in 1Q2023, Kazakhstan's economy showed solid growth at 4.9% yoy (the highest growth rate over the past 11 years). 

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Macroeconomic report 4Q2022

In 2022, Kazakhstan’s economy experienced the same challenges as the global economy as a whole – record consumer inflation, rapid and widespread tightening of monetary conditions, reduced household consumption, deteriorating residential real estate market, as well as negative consequences of the military conflict in Ukraine.

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Macroeconomic report 3Q2022

Disruptions in the oil and gas industry and subdued consumer activity led to a slowdown in the economy of the Republic of Kazakhstan in 9M2022 to 2.8% yoy from 3.6% yoy in 1H2022 and 4.6% yoy in 1Q2022.

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Macroeconomic report 2Q2022

During the first 5 months of this year, the economy of Kazakhstan evinced high growth rate of 4.6% yoy amidst a favorable commodity price environment in the global markets.

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Inflation in June 2022

In June, consumer inflation rates continued to grow and amounted to 1.6% mom. 

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State budget of Kazakhstan in 1Q2022

As a result of the outstripping growth of state budget revenues (+45% yoy) over its expenditures (+15% yoy), the state budget balance for the first time in four years developed a surplus in 1Q2022, amounting to KZT0.2 trillion.

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Analytics center
Департамент торговых идей
Департамент торговых идей осуществляет анализ казахстанских и иностранных эмитентов, готовит инвестиционные рекомендации и отчеты по долевым и долговым инструментам.

Overview of retail trade

In 2022, in our opinion, due to the persistence of the negative effects of external shocks, the return of households to the pre-pandemic consumption model will be slow, and the growth rate of retail trade turnover will be 3-4% yoy.
 

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External trade of RK in January-April 2022

We expect that the strengthening of the tenge and further stabilization of the economy will stimulate an increase in imports and, as a result, will lead to a reduction in the trade surplus in the coming months of this year.

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Macroeconomic report 1Q2022

In 1Q2022 high oil prices and other export commodities of Kazakhstan against the backdrop of significant expansion of government spending contributed to the acceleration of Kazakhstan’s GDP growth to 4.4% yoy. 

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Inflation in April 2022

After a sharp acceleration in March to 3.7% mom, consumer inflation slowed down in monthly terms to 2% in April. 

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External trade of RK in January-February 2022

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Macroeconomic report 4Q2021

In 2021, rising commodity prices, significant inflows of budgetary and non-budgetary funds into the real sector of the economy, as well as the acceleration of consumer lending and the withdrawal of savings from the UAPF contributed to the recovery of the growth rate of the Kazakhstani economy to the pre-crisis level of 4% yoy. 

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Департамент торговых идей
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