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Capital expenditures for 1H2019 decreased by 9.6% (to 205bn rubles) due to a reduction in investment in gas projects in Uzbekistan and the completion of major construction work at the Korchagin and Filanovsky fields.

Free cash flow amounted to 308.3bn rubles, an increase of 68.4%.

Fig. 1. Financial indicators  
bn rub 1H2018 1H2019 yoy HF estimates 2019FY
Revenue 3 687 3 976 8% 7 325
EBITDA, incl. 515 630 22% 925
  Exploration and production segment 412 470 14% 690
  Refinery and tradind segment 118 173 46% 231
Net profit 277 332 20% 487
Capital expenditures 227 205 -10% 415
Free cash flow 183 308 68% 422
Source: Company data      

Our view

Estimating the results of Lukoil in 1H2019 as expectedly strong relative to 1H2018, we continue to note the growth potential for LKOH as high. In addition to short-term growth drivers, we are positive with regard to the stability of cash flows generated by a company with the same degree of stability even under adverse conditions for oil companies. We maintain our Buy recommendation on Lukoil with 12M TP of 6792rub/share.

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