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Kcell results for 9M2019

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Over 9M2019, sales grew by 2.4% yoy to T114bn, of which 51% was received from voice communication services and 33% from data transmission. Income from voice services for 9M2019 amounted to T59bn tenge, increasing by 1% yoy and from data transmission the company received 38bn tenge, which is 12% higher yoy.

On sales of mobile devices, there is a decrease in revenue by 12% yoy to T12bn. Just for this reason, the Company managed to reduce its total cost by 2.6% yoy to T80bn.

Costs of sales and marketing decreased significantly - by 27.4% to T1.7bn.

In the reporting period, there is a noticeable optimization of general administrative expenses, which decreased by 42.5% yoy and amounted to slightly more than T6bn. This effect was partially offset by the payment of a fine of T15bn during 9M2019, the costs of which did not arise last year. Due to the netting of fines and related charges, operating profit declined 3% to slightly above T13bn. As a result of the growth in financial expenses, the company's pre-tax profit amounted to T5.9bn, which is 23% lower than the result for 9M2018. Due to the strong reduction in tax expenses (-68% yoy), the Company managed to achieve net profit in KZT5bn, which is 3% yoy higher.

Our view

In the context of a declining subscriber base (-8.6% yoy) and stagnation of revenues from voice services, Kcell significantly reduced its expenses, mitigating a decrease in operating profit by 3% yoy. At the same time, the adjusted operating profit excluding the netting of payment of fines according to our calculations is about T26bn, which is 62% higher than in the previous year. The company did a great job to reduce costs while the number of employees grew by 2.3% yoy. In the future, we expect a gradual stabilization of the financial performance of the Company due to the continuation of the policy of high-quality cost optimization.

As a result of the reduction in subscribers, we are seeing an increase in average specific revenue based on an increase in ARPU by 16.6% yoy. We maintain our recommendation to Buy with 12M TP 2 225 KZT/share.

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Team
Igor Savchenko
Senior Analyst
Amir Aktanov
Chief Analyst
Danil Bondarets
Senior Analyst
Anna Dore
Senior Analyst
Asan Kurmanbekov
Director of the Department
Alexander Shmyrov
Deputy Director of the Department
Arystan Baibatshayev
Analyst
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