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Inflation in October 2021

We expect a moderate rise in prices in the next two months of this year in response to more active measures to counter inflation by government agencies, as a result of which, as well as due to the high base of December last year, inflation at the end of this year, according to our forecast, will amount to 8.5-8.7% yoy.

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Inflation in September 2021

The persistent high rate of non-food prices and paid services due to the low base effect of last year contributed to the acceleration of CPI to 8.9% in annual terms (the highest rate since 2016).

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Fixed Income Weekly: September 13 - September 19, 2021

Fixed Income Weekly: September 13 - September 19, 2021

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Fixed Income Weekly: September 06 - September 12, 2021

Fixed Income Weekly: September 06 - September 12, 2021

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The State budget of the Republic of Kazakhstan in 2Q2021

It is expected to further expand to historically record levels – 33% higher than the deficit of the crisis 2020.

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Fixed Income Weekly: August 30 - September 05, 2021

Fixed Income Weekly: August 30 - September 05, 2021

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Inflation in August 2021

We keep our forecast for consumer inflation at the level of 8.5-8.7% at the end of 2021.

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Fixed Income Weekly: August 23 - August 29, 2021

Fixed Income Weekly: August 23 - August 29, 2021

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Fixed Income Weekly: August 16 - August 22, 2021

Fixed Income Weekly: August 16 - August 22, 2021

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Oil market on the way to recovery

As of 1H2021, global oil consumption increased by 5.9% yoy, while supply partly driven by the OPEC+ agreement, decreased by 2.8% yoy. As a result, the decline of excess reserves of oil and petroleum products continued and their level returned to pre-pandemic values.

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Team
Arystan Baibatshayev
Analyst
Igor Savchenko
Senior Analyst
Asan Kurmanbekov
Director of the Department
Anna Dore
Senior Analyst
Alexander Shmyrov
Deputy Director of the Department
Danil Bondarets
Senior Analyst
Amir Aktanov
Chief Analyst
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